Here are the raw numbers, not adjusted for opponent strengths and weaknesses. The little numbers are national rank.
Just as a reminder, these statistics don't tell us what we did or how we did it, but rather what the end result was. We don't know from this who took what shots, we just know that we scored on 47% of them. It's the what and the how that generate the fun discussions...
In some ways we look typical of the last few seasons. We don't turn the ball over but we don't cause many turnovers either. We draw more fouls than we commit. Rebounding has been inconsistent so far, but a couple good games have given us an average that's OK. All that is typical of recent years and the precise numbers, give or take a couple points, don't mean much this early in the season.
Shooting defense has been a strength in the past, and it has also been pretty good so far -- apart from William & Mary, we've held opponents below the national average for EFG%. WE can quibble about consistency (as we do every year) but we are capable of good shot defense.
Shooting offense continues to be a concern. We are below the EFG% national average of 49.2% and that's a place we aren't used to being. The reason is jumpers. Overall, teams take roughly one-third of their shots at the rim, one-third from the arc, and one-third in between. We take a bit more at the rim (37%) and fewer from the arc (29%). We're doing OK at the rim, hitting 64%. It's jump shooting where we're either in a temporary slump or doomed:
We are handling the new shot clock with ease. Tempo is up about as predicted, but efficiency hasn't suffered in the way we might have predicted. Our non-transition (first 10 seconds of the shot clock) EFG% is 45.0%. And when a possession lasts into the last 5 seconds of the shot clock, our EFG% is still 45.2%.
In some ways we look typical of the last few seasons. We don't turn the ball over but we don't cause many turnovers either. We draw more fouls than we commit. Rebounding has been inconsistent so far, but a couple good games have given us an average that's OK. All that is typical of recent years and the precise numbers, give or take a couple points, don't mean much this early in the season.
Shooting defense has been a strength in the past, and it has also been pretty good so far -- apart from William & Mary, we've held opponents below the national average for EFG%. WE can quibble about consistency (as we do every year) but we are capable of good shot defense.
Shooting offense continues to be a concern. We are below the EFG% national average of 49.2% and that's a place we aren't used to being. The reason is jumpers. Overall, teams take roughly one-third of their shots at the rim, one-third from the arc, and one-third in between. We take a bit more at the rim (37%) and fewer from the arc (29%). We're doing OK at the rim, hitting 64%. It's jump shooting where we're either in a temporary slump or doomed:
- We're only hitting 27.8% of 2-point jumpers. Rowan is 8 of 17 (47%) but Abu is hitting 30% of his jumpers and no one else is above 25%. Everyone-not-named-Maverick is 22 of 91 for just 24%.
- We only have two guys who have made a 3-pointer. It looks like Cat is the only other guy with a shot to be a 30% or better shooter from the arc. Caleb is hitting almost 44%. Maverick is only at 30.6% but he has a nice stroke and enough apparent confidence that it seems likely to improve. Cat is 0 for 7 but we've seen what he can do, just need him to do it. Getting Terry back, assuming he and Rowan share time, may not make a huge difference compared to getting Cat's shot back.
We are handling the new shot clock with ease. Tempo is up about as predicted, but efficiency hasn't suffered in the way we might have predicted. Our non-transition (first 10 seconds of the shot clock) EFG% is 45.0%. And when a possession lasts into the last 5 seconds of the shot clock, our EFG% is still 45.2%.
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